TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Türkiye vs. Belgium
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Türkiye vs. Belgium?

Total volume:
$7,468
Volume 24h:
$2,984
53%
Liquidity:
$14,127
3%
Open interest:
$4,877
106%

Belgium

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:23h:46m

Belgium wins

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belgium

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$3,904
27%
N/A
$2,299
1w 2d 23h
Active
polymarket

Belgium

Trade
49%
Yes 50¢No 53¢
3¢
$5,314
$396
5%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 20h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
49.9%
Yes 50¢No 52¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Turkiye

Trade
28%
Yes 29¢No 74¢
3¢
N/A
$3,140
210%
N/A
$2,567
1w 2d 23h
Active
polymarket

Türkiye

Trade
26%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
4¢
$4,683
$18
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 20h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28%
Yes 28.5¢No 75¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
25%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
2¢
N/A
$11
0%
N/A
$11
1w 2d 23h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Türkiye vs. Belgium)

Trade
23%
Yes 25¢No 79¢
4¢
$4,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 20h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Türkiye and Belgium, scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Türkiye will win, Belgium will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes comprehensive abandonment rules, while Kalshi lacks explicit provisions for game cancellations or abandonment, potentially leading to differing resolutions in such scenarios.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket markets are more susceptible to 'no-result' outcomes due to their detailed abandonment clauses. Kalshi markets require a definitive result within the 90+ stoppage time window.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, Türkiye/Belgium win markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit rules address game cancellations or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Türkiye and Belgium, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Turkiye wins the Turkiye vs Belgium professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Belgium wins the Turkiye vs Belgium professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Turkiye vs Belgium professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Türkiye vs. Belgium match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $7,468 and 24-hour volume of $2,872. By tracking trading activity across these venues, we can observe how the collective wisdom of the crowd assesses the likelihood of each team winning. The dashboard provides a dynamic overview of market sentiment, reflecting the latest insights from prediction market participants.

Prediction market odds often offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, potentially incorporating biases or aiming for profit margins. In contrast, prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are driven by traders who directly speculate on the outcome, creating odds based on their collective information and analysis. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of bet types than are available in this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing risk appetites among traders on each platform can influence pricing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12? at 48.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Belgium wins at 50.0%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each market and the individual assessments of its participants regarding the Türkiye vs. Belgium match.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Türkiye vs. Belgium match, as determined by the governing football association. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Trading will cease prior to resolution, and the market will settle to reflect the actual result of the match.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Türkiye or Belgium national teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts could also drive price movements. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also affect the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to Nov 12, 2026.