TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Trinidense and Libertad, focusing exclusively on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether either team will secure a win within regular time or if the game will conclude in a draw. The resolution hinges solely on the final whistle outcome without considering any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Trinidense vs Libertad professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Trinidense, a win for Libertad, or a tie. If either team wins within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it could suggest that the market perceives information differently or anticipates factors not fully accounted for by traditional bookmakers. This difference can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Trinidense vs Libertad match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which outcome of the match is the winner, and the contracts associated with that outcome will pay out according to the market price at resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Trinidense or Libertad could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment, reflected in news articles, social media, or expert analysis, can impact trading activity and therefore the market prices. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market.