TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer match between Trinidad and Tobago and Curacao, focusing on determining whether either team wins in regular time or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Market outcomes reflect the competitive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the result of the Trinidad and Tobago vs Curacao professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Trinidad and Tobago wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Curacao wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing expectations, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Trinidad and Tobago vs Curacao match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Trinidad and Tobago vs Curacao match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can cause rapid price shifts. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is interpreting new information and adjusting its predictions for the Trinidad and Tobago vs Curacao match.