TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams will compete in a match where only a win for either side or a tie will determine the outcome. The result will be decided within the standard match time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Trinec vs Ceska Lipa professional Czech National Football League soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Trinec wins, the "Trinec" market resolves to Yes. If Ceska Lipa wins, the "Ceska Lipa" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. The markets only consider the result after regular time and do not include extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing where the crowd and the experts align—or diverge—on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This mechanism allows traders to express their views and profit from accurately predicting the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Trinec vs Ceska Lipa match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the official sources as the event concludes to understand how the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, major weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant public endorsements or betting patterns, might cause traders to adjust their positions. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and overall market activity will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price movement in this market.