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Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
NBA player Trey Murphy III will either be traded or sign with a different professional basketball team, or remain with his current team or retire, before October 21, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome occurs first: Trey Murphy III signs with or is traded to any of the specified NBA teams, or he stays with the New Orleans Pelicans or retires, all before October 21, 2026. Each outcome is mutually exclusive—only one can resolve to Yes. The resolution is based on official NBA roster transactions and announcements.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders on the exchange, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of potential team destinations for Trey Murphy III.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team that Trey Murphy III is officially traded to or signs with, as reported by authoritative sports news sources. The market will close and payouts will be determined based on which team is confirmed as his next destination by that date. Any trades or signings announced after Oct 21, 2026 will not impact the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding potential trades involving Trey Murphy III, reports of interest from specific teams, or even coaching changes could all shift trader sentiment. Official statements from the New Orleans Pelicans or other NBA teams, as well as any updates on his current contract situation, would also be key catalysts. Any credible reporting on his availability or preferred destinations will likely cause fluctuations in the prices within this market as traders adjust their predictions.