TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Trey Murphy III's Next Team
kalshi

Trey Murphy III's Next Team

Volume:
$318,763

Stays with New Orleans or Retires

 - Kalshi

Stays with New Orleans or Retires - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stays with New Orleans or Retires

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,019
N/A
N/A
$27,368
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,930
N/A
N/A
$16,607
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,736
N/A
N/A
$13,786
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,060
N/A
N/A
$13,357
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,846
N/A
N/A
$13,404
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,378
N/A
N/A
$11,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,654
N/A
N/A
$10,077
Settled
No
kalshi

Memphis

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,193
N/A
N/A
$8,474
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,778
N/A
N/A
$10,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,061
N/A
N/A
$8,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooklyn

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,338
N/A
N/A
$8,280
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,600
N/A
N/A
$6,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlotte

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,583
N/A
N/A
$6,583
Settled
No
kalshi

Milwaukee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,185
N/A
N/A
$4,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,944
N/A
N/A
$5,944
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,569
N/A
N/A
$5,569
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,531
N/A
N/A
$5,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,516
N/A
N/A
$5,516
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,828
N/A
N/A
$4,828
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,759
N/A
N/A
$4,759
Settled
No
kalshi

Utah

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,431
N/A
N/A
$4,431
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,425
N/A
N/A
$4,425
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,086
N/A
N/A
$4,086
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,148
N/A
N/A
$3,148
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,806
N/A
N/A
$2,806
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

NBA player Trey Murphy III will either be traded or sign with a different professional basketball team, or remain with his current team or retire, before October 21, 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome occurs first: Trey Murphy III signs with or is traded to any of the specified NBA teams, or he stays with the New Orleans Pelicans or retires, all before October 21, 2026. Each outcome is mutually exclusive—only one can resolve to Yes. The resolution is based on official NBA roster transactions and announcements.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information and insights that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbook odds are readily available, they may not fully capture all relevant factors, such as inside information or nuanced player dynamics. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments unfold leading up to the resolution of this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders on the exchange, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of potential team destinations for Trey Murphy III.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team that Trey Murphy III is officially traded to or signs with, as reported by authoritative sports news sources. The market will close and payouts will be determined based on which team is confirmed as his next destination by that date. Any trades or signings announced after Oct 21, 2026 will not impact the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding potential trades involving Trey Murphy III, reports of interest from specific teams, or even coaching changes could all shift trader sentiment. Official statements from the New Orleans Pelicans or other NBA teams, as well as any updates on his current contract situation, would also be key catalysts. Any credible reporting on his availability or preferred destinations will likely cause fluctuations in the prices within this market as traders adjust their predictions.