TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Trelleborgs and Aatvidabergs. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Trelleborgs vs Aatvidabergs professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Trelleborgs winning, Aatvidabergs winning, or the match ending in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to the full-time result as defined by the official match regulations, with no consideration given to post-match events such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook's odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market price in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets offering a more accurate forecast, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will react. This creates a dynamic pricing system that attempts to reflect the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Trelleborgs vs Aatvidabergs match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could any pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators. Major betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as the match approaches.