TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Treffers Groesbeek and Jong Sparta, focusing exclusively on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The markets will determine whether either team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie within regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Rescheduling or cancellation terms also guide how unresolved scenarios are handled.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Treffers Groesbeek vs Jong Sparta professional Tweede Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the outcome. Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible results: a win for Treffers Groesbeek, a win for Jong Sparta, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to defined procedures. The event exclusively reflects regulation-time results, with no affiliation to the governing league or its branding entities.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. If a large number of people believe in an outcome, even if it’s statistically less likely, the price in this market will move accordingly. Comparing the two can highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply pushing them down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Treffers Groesbeek vs Jong Sparta match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Treffers Groesbeek, a win for Jong Sparta, or a draw – actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior matches by either Treffers Groesbeek or Jong Sparta will also be closely watched. Significant betting activity – a large volume of trades in one direction – can also cause the price to move rapidly. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning or the match ending in a draw has the potential to impact this market.