This event group covers the NBA game between the Portland Trail Blazers and Houston Rockets scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET in Houston. Markets span moneyline, spreads, over/unders, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official NBA.com final score determines all outcomes, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and player inactivity (No for props).
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline markets resolve to the team with the higher final score (including all overtime periods)
Spread markets resolve to Rockets if they win by the specified margin or more (e.g., -7.5 requires 8+ point win); otherwise Trail Blazers; ties resolve to Trail Blazers
Over/Under markets resolve Over if combined team points exceed the threshold (e.g., O/U 221.5 resolves Over at 222+); otherwise Under
Player prop markets resolve Yes if player exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Points O/U 19.5 is Yes if >19.5); resolve No if player scores at or below threshold or is listed inactive
First-half markets apply identical logic but use halftime score only
If game is postponed, all markets remain open until game completion
If game is canceled with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tie at end of regulation: Overtime is played and included in final score. Spread markets resolve to Trail Blazers if final margin is less than the specified threshold (e.g., Rockets -7.5 resolves to Trail Blazers if Rockets win by 7 or fewer, or lose)
Player listed inactive: All player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve to No if the player does not take the court at any point during the game
Game postponement: All markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed; no early resolution occurs
Game cancellation without makeup: All markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No, or equivalent for multi-outcome markets)
Halftime tie in first-half markets: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50; first-half spreads resolve to Trail Blazers if margin is below threshold
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final buzzer of the game (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. If postponed, resolution is delayed until game completion. If canceled, resolution occurs upon official NBA cancellation announcement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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