TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Tractor Tabriz and Al-Shamal in the AFC Champions League will determine if more than a certain number of goals are scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified threshold of goals (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5) is exceeded in the Tractor Tabriz vs Al-Shamal professional AFC Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded from the count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and a margin for profit, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a large number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Buyers are expressing a belief that the actual total goals will be *less* than the contract price, while sellers believe it will be *more*. This dynamic interplay between buyers and sellers determines the current market price.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Tractor Tabriz vs Al-Shamal match, as officially recorded by the governing football association, will determine the result. No further action is required from participants after the match concludes; the platform will automatically settle contracts based on the verified final score. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tractor Tabriz or Al-Shamal would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also play a role. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could influence trading activity and the price.