TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

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$228,458,490

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2,984,028,936

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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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40,345

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Tractor Tabriz vs. Al-Shamal
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Tractor Tabriz vs. Al-Shamal?

Volume:
$261,591

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 1:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,632
N/A
N/A
$42,938
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Tractor Tabriz vs. Al-Shamal)

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,339
$42,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SHM

View
3%
31%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$5,919
$30,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Shamal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,502
N/A
N/A
$33,328
Settled
No
polymarket

Al-Shamal

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TRA

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$349
$9,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tractor Tabriz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,076
N/A
N/A
$35,612
Settled
No
polymarket

Tractor Tabriz

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between Tractor Tabriz and Al-Shamal in the AFC Champions League, scheduled for October 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Tractor Tabriz, Al-Shamal, or the match will end in a draw, all within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for a canceled game; Kalshi resolves to 'No' while Polymarket resolves to 'Yes' (draw).Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Polymarket's resolution to 'Yes' (draw) on cancellation creates a potential arbitrage opportunity if Kalshi markets are priced differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: If Tractor Tabriz vs Al-Shamal is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to No. This implies neither team wins.
  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This implies a draw.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Tractor Tabriz and Al-Shamal.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Tractor Tabriz vs Al-Shamal professional AFC Champions League soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026: a win for Tractor Tabriz, a win for Al-Shamal, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing solely on the standing at the end of regular time.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Tractor Tabriz and Al-Shamal.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Tractor Tabriz vs. Al-Shamal match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $261,591, with $255,226 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of expectations surrounding the match, aggregating insights from diverse traders. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities and volume traded on each platform, providing a comprehensive overview of the market’s sentiment. It’s a valuable resource for anyone interested in understanding how prediction markets are pricing this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on varying levels of information, analytical approaches, and market efficiency.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Tractor Tabriz vs. Al-Shamal match can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information access. Trading volume also plays a role; a higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market mechanics and fee structures of Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. These differences contribute to distinct perspectives on the likely outcome of the match.