TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:19h:47m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Europa Conference League match between Trabzonspor and SC Freiburg on November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Trabzonspor or SC Freiburg will win, or if the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Trabzonspor and SC Freiburg.
The event resolves based on the result of the Trabzonspor vs Freiburg professional Conference League soccer game scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Trabzonspor wins, the 'Trabzonspor' market resolves to Yes. If Freiburg wins, the 'Freiburg' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Trabzonspor and SC Freiburg.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 5, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Trabzonspor vs. Freiburg match, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts, creating a more dynamic and potentially more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market’s volume of $2,515 suggests active trading and a developing consensus, which may diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Trabzonspor vs. Freiburg match can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes ($2,515 total), and liquidity levels. Additionally, each platform may attract traders with varying levels of expertise or differing opinions about the likely outcome. Market design choices, such as fees or contract specifications, can also contribute to price discrepancies. The 24-hour volume is $508, indicating the level of recent activity influencing these prices.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Trabzonspor vs. Freiburg match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for the official announcement, as this will be the basis for settling this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes for either Trabzonspor or Freiburg would likely influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, major upsets in other relevant soccer matches or broader sporting events might affect overall market sentiment and trading volume. Keep an eye on credible sports news sources for updates that could move this market.