TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Trabzonspor will win their professional Super Lig soccer game against Besiktas. Currently, Kalshi gives Trabzonspor a 66.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 25.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match as reported by official sources, specifically if Trabzonspor wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Participants should closely watch the kickoff on October 19, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window and the start of determining the market’s outcome.
The event resolves based on the result of the Trabzonspor vs Besiktas professional Super Lig soccer match originally scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Trabzonspor, a win for Besiktas, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, reflects what people truly believe will happen, potentially revealing information not fully captured by conventional odds. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique information, or simply variations in risk assessment, providing opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market depth, represented by the bid-ask spread, indicates the ease of trading and the level of agreement among traders regarding the likely outcome of the Trabzonspor vs Besiktas match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Trabzonspor vs Besiktas match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and finalize the market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Trabzonspor or Besiktas would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in sports news and analysis, can drive price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market.