TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, reflecting varying levels of confidence in the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Towson vs Monmouth college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If Monmouth wins by exceeding the specified point spread, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome resolves; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Conversely, if Towson wins by more than the stated margin, the relevant 'Yes' market resolves positively. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve per the actual result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their view on the likely outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as the market adjusts and incorporates new information. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Towson vs Monmouth spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood as perceived by the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Towson vs Monmouth basketball game. The resolution will reflect the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Any overtime periods will be included in the final point spread calculation. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, if the game is played outdoors, could also play a role. Furthermore, large bets placed by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements. Any updates related to team morale or internal conflicts might also affect how this market trades as the game approaches.