TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tour of Guangxi 2026: Winner
polymarket

Who will win Tour of Guangxi?

Volume:
$100

Tadej Pogacar

 - Polymarket

Tadej Pogacar - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 7:33 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tadej Pogacar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Remco Evenepoel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isaac Del Toro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jasper Philipsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mathieu van der Poel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Paul Seixas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wout van Aert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jonathan Milan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jonas Vingegaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mads Pedersen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tobias Lund Andresen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tobias Johannessen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lenny Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Florian Lipowitz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Thomas Pidcock

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Laurence Pithie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brady Gilmore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mattias Skjelmose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christophe Laporte

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Richard Carapaz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Matthew Brennan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Finn Fisher-Black

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luca Mozzato

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pello Bilbao

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Welsford

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Tour of Guangxi, scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the 2026 Tour of Guangxi is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Tour of Guangxi, scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the 2026 Tour of Guangxi is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be slower to adjust to new information or changing sentiment. This market, like others, can sometimes show discrepancies with sportsbook odds, as traders weigh different factors and express their beliefs about the likely winner of the Tour of Guangxi. These differences can stem from varying levels of information access and differing interpretations of available data.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each cyclist’s chance of winning. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a cyclist will win, the higher the price of their contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 2026 Tour of Guangxi will be determined based on the official results published by race organizers, and this market will settle to reflect that outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand when this market will be considered complete.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key contenders, changes in team strategy, or even adverse weather conditions during the race could all shift the probabilities. Major announcements regarding rider form or participation, such as a star cyclist withdrawing due to illness, would likely cause substantial movement. Performance in other preparatory races leading up to the Tour of Guangxi will also be closely watched, as will any news related to potential doping violations or other controversies affecting the leading cyclists.