TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:23h:02m
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Toulouse and Strasbourg Alsace, scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets exist for Toulouse winning, Strasbourg winning, or the match ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Toulouse vs Strasbourg Alsace professional Ligue 1 soccer game scheduled for Nov 6, 2026. If Toulouse wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Toulouse' market resolves to Yes. If Strasbourg Alsace wins under the same conditions, the 'Strasbourg Alsace' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 6, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Toulouse (TOU) and Strasbourg (STR), scheduled for 2026-11-06 19:45 UTC. - TOU: If Toulouse wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - STR: If Strasbourg wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both TOU and STR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Opinion can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanics of order execution and market-making on each platform can influence price formation. These differences mean that even for the same event – the Toulouse vs Strasbourg match – you may observe different probabilities reflected in the prices on Kalshi versus Opinion.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Toulouse vs Strasbourg match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accurate settlement. Traders holding positions in this market will then receive payouts based on the final result and the probabilities at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key factors include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Toulouse or Strasbourg. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on the day of the match could influence the perceived probabilities. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert predictions, could lead to increased trading activity and price movement in this market.