TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC. The outcome will be determined by which team scores more goals during the second half, including stoppage time, or if the teams are tied. Cancellation of the match results in a draw.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC score more goals than ES Troyes AC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ES Troyes AC" if ES Troyes AC score more goals than Toulouse FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC score more goals than ES Troyes AC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ES Troyes AC" if ES Troyes AC score more goals than Toulouse FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balanced betting volume, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Consequently, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there is significant information asymmetry or a strong collective opinion that diverges from sportsbook expectations. The current volume of $0 suggests active trading in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to a number of factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific liquidity. Polymarket currently favors Toulouse FC to win the second half at approximately 54%, while Predict leans toward a draw. These differences can arise from variations in how each platform attracts traders and the information they prioritize. Furthermore, the fee structures and trading interfaces on each platform can influence price discovery. The volume traded on each platform—$0 overall—also plays a role, as lower volume can lead to greater price volatility and divergence.