TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
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2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:24 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion, providing potential opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible halftime outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability for each result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the halftime result—which team is leading, or if it’s a draw—will be determined based on official match data. The resolution will reflect the situation at the end of the first half of the Toulouse FC versus ES Troyes AC match, as recorded by official sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in formation for either Toulouse FC or ES Troyes AC could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could also play a role. Furthermore, early game events, such as a red card or a penalty awarded to one team, could rapidly alter the perceived probabilities and cause substantial movement in this market.