TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "ES Troyes AC" if ES Troyes AC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "ES Troyes AC" if ES Troyes AC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While direct comparisons require analyzing current sportsbook offerings, prediction markets can sometimes identify discrepancies or inefficiencies that sportsbooks miss. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and with differing incentives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Toulouse FC or ES Troyes AC will score first in the second half. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the demand for shares in a particular outcome, the higher the price, and the greater the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team—Toulouse FC or ES Troyes AC—scores the first goal in the second half of the match. The resolution will rely on official match data and be verified against credible public sources. The platform will then finalize the settlement based on this verified result, distributing payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key offensive players, could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, will also be closely watched by traders. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and scoring opportunities. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match commentary from analysts could also trigger movements in this market as traders react to new information.