TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an English Premier League soccer match between Tottenham and Coventry, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a 'Yes' outcome in the Tottenham vs Coventry EPL match scheduled for October 19, 2026. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if Tottenham wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Coventry wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, all assessed after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines to balance betting action. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs about the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, especially when public opinion differs significantly from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets offer a more accurate forecast, as they aggregate diverse perspectives without the influence of built-in profit margins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Tottenham vs Coventry match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price represents the market's implied probability of the spread falling within a certain range, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual result of the Tottenham vs Coventry match, as reported by official sources. The market will settle to 100 if the spread falls within the contract range, and 0 if it does not. All trades will be finalized based on this verified outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Tottenham or Coventry would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or shifts in public perception based on pre-match analysis, are also potential catalysts for price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.