TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:45 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Women's Super League game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:45 AM ET.
More markets for the Women's Super League game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:45 AM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs about probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes displaying probabilities that differ from initial sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, such as injury reports or team news, potentially providing a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes, and the price of each share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different result, the corresponding share prices will adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system for the North London Derby market.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tottenham Hotspur FC versus Arsenal WFC match, including any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The final score and confirmed winner will be used to determine which outcome in this market is considered correct. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tottenham Hotspur or Arsenal would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, the results of other matches involving these teams leading up to the derby, or even broader footballing news, could influence how traders assess the probabilities. A major upset in a preceding match for either side could certainly move this market.