TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$281,012,624
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,948,184,939
411,211
Markets across
39,745
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,440
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total number of maps completed across all official matches of VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China is greater than or equal to the number specified in the market title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Every completed map in every official match of the tournament (Group Stage and Playoffs) counts, including maps that go to overtime. Maps that are forfeited, awarded without being played, or abandoned without a completed result do not count. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled or postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of maps completed as of that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official match results and per-map statistics on vlr.gg (https://www.vlr.gg/event/2766/valorant-champions-2026). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total number of maps completed across all official matches of VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China is greater than or equal to the number specified in the market title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Every completed map in every official match of the tournament (Group Stage and Playoffs) counts, including maps that go to overtime. Maps that are forfeited, awarded without being played, or abandoned without a completed result do not count. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled or postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of maps completed as of that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official match results and per-map statistics on vlr.gg (https://www.vlr.gg/event/2766/valorant-champions-2026). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks for the total number of maps at VALORANT Champions 2026. Traditional sportsbooks typically focus on match outcomes, while this market centers on an aggregate event statistic. However, if sportsbooks were to offer a similar prop bet, we might expect prediction market prices to reflect a more refined view of the probability, incorporating insights from a diverse group of forecasters. It’s important to remember that prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts than traditional methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe a certain number of maps will be played, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different scenarios.
This market resolves around Nov 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official number of maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026, as documented by the tournament organizers. The total map count will include all maps played across all matches in the main tournament bracket, from the initial group stage through the grand final. The outcome will be determined by the official tournament results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 18, 2026. Major announcements regarding the tournament format, such as changes to the number of teams or the structure of the bracket, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected roster changes for top teams, or the emergence of a dominant team during qualifying events, could also impact the perceived likelihood of longer or shorter matches. Furthermore, any news regarding player health or potential rule changes could introduce uncertainty and volatility into this market, leading to price adjustments.