TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total number of aces recorded across all maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China is greater than or equal to the number specified in the market title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An ace is a single player killing all five players on the opposing team within a single round, recorded as a 5K in the match's performance statistics. Aces recorded in overtime rounds count. Every completed map in every official match of the tournament (Group Stage and Playoffs) counts. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled or postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total number of aces recorded in the maps completed as of that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the per-match performance statistics on vlr.gg (https://www.vlr.gg/event/2766/valorant-champions-2026), summing the 5K column across all matches of the tournament. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total number of aces recorded across all maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China is greater than or equal to the number specified in the market title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An ace is a single player killing all five players on the opposing team within a single round, recorded as a 5K in the match's performance statistics. Aces recorded in overtime rounds count. Every completed map in every official match of the tournament (Group Stage and Playoffs) counts. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled or postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total number of aces recorded in the maps completed as of that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the per-match performance statistics on vlr.gg (https://www.vlr.gg/event/2766/valorant-champions-2026), summing the 5K column across all matches of the tournament. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the total number of aces at VALORANT Champions 2026. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as correct predictions lead to profitable trades. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Nov 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official final ace count recorded during VALORANT Champions 2026. The official tournament results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. It's important to note that any disputes regarding the official ace count will be resolved based on the tournament organizers' final decision, as reported by reputable esports news sources. The market will then settle based on which outcome matches the verified total.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major roster changes for top VALORANT teams, unexpected player performance during qualifying events, and the announcement of new agent releases or map updates could all shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any news regarding potential rule changes or tournament format adjustments could influence the perceived likelihood of certain outcomes. Strong performances by individual players known for aggressive playstyles, leading to more ace opportunities, would likely increase the probability of higher ace totals in this market. Monitoring these events is crucial for understanding potential market movements.