TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Torrelavega and Ourense, specifically the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to bet on whether one team will win within regulation time or if the match will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the match's result without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Torrelavega vs Ourense professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Torrelavega win, Ourense win, or a tie—all determined exclusively within regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of either team winning, you may see divergence between the two. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion on the likely result of the Torrelavega vs Ourense match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy ‘yes’ shares if they believe Torrelavega or Ourense will win in regulation time, and sell ‘yes’ shares if they believe the opposite. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with the price representing the probability of a ‘yes’ outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of the outcome. Currently, the top outcome is a tie, but this can change with trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Torrelavega vs Ourense match, specifically which team, if any, wins during regulation time. A tie will also be a possible outcome. The final price of the ‘yes’ shares will reflect the actual result, and traders will be paid out or required to pay based on their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting activity elsewhere, could also impact the price. Monitoring these signals and understanding how they might affect the outcome of the Torrelavega vs Ourense match is key to informed trading.