TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Toronto and Utah. It focuses on whether either team will secure a decisive win by a specified number of goals. The outcomes reflect different thresholds for what constitutes a dominant performance in the match.
The event centers on determining whether either Toronto or Utah achieves a victory margin exceeding specified goal differentials in their NHL game scheduled for October 13, 2026. Four distinct outcome categories define varying degrees of victory: Utah winning by more than 2.5 goals, Utah winning by more than 1.5 goals, Toronto winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Toronto winning by more than 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or lineup changes – the odds in this market can adjust more rapidly than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy, particularly closer to the event date, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants, creating a dynamic and efficient pricing mechanism for the Toronto vs. Utah spread.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Toronto versus Utah game, as officially recorded by sports data providers. The market will determine whether Toronto covers the spread, fails to cover, or ties the spread. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics and will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price movement of this market. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either Toronto or Utah would likely cause a shift in the odds. Significant news regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also play a role. Major betting patterns or large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and influence the market. Any updates that alter the perceived probability of Toronto covering the spread will likely lead to price adjustments between now and the resolution date.