TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the first, this market evaluates if the total goals in another NHL game meet or exceed specified thresholds. The assessment includes all regulation and overtime goals, with a single goal counted for shootout winners.
Multiple thresholds (Over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals) determine market resolution. For any threshold, if the combined goals scored by both teams in the Toronto vs Edmonton NHL game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, exceed that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Goals from regulation and overtime count normally; a shootout awards one goal to the winner. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in fair price resolution for all markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that more accurately forecast the event's outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing the prediction market price. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing expectations. The current price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of that outcome, and it’s expressed as a price between 0 and 100, where 100 represents a 100% probability.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Toronto vs Edmonton game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout of 100 minus the contract price they paid, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their initial investment.
Several factors could influence the Toronto vs Edmonton goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the game could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in coaching strategies could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting patterns, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.