TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Toronto and DC United. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Toronto versus DC United MLS soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined number of goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across evaluations. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets is not officially affiliated with the MLS or any governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns and promotional offers, which may create temporary discrepancies. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information and potentially outperform sportsbook lines in predictive accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at various price points, giving you insight into the level of demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Toronto vs DC United match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official league data and verified against reliable sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency. The resolution will reflect the collective prediction made by traders on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Toronto or DC United would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the expected scoring rate and therefore influence trading activity. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations in this market.