TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Toronto vs DC United: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Toronto vs DC United?

Volume:
$31,249

Toronto wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Toronto wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 9:38 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toronto wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,906
N/A
N/A
$4,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,756
N/A
N/A
$4,341
Settled
No
kalshi

DC United wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,586
N/A
N/A
$4,376
Settled
No
kalshi

DC United wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,001
N/A
N/A
$5,457
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Toronto and DC United, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The match result is evaluated after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.

Kalshi

The event evaluates the goal differential by which either Toronto or DC United wins the match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty kicks. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Toronto winning by more than 2.5 goals, Toronto winning by more than 1.5 goals, DC United winning by more than 1.5 goals, or DC United winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market resolving to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Toronto vs DC United match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the volume is $30,723 and the total volume is $30,872. This allows participants to see how others are valuing the likelihood of different outcomes and to understand market sentiment. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market, helping traders make informed decisions about when and how to participate.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant amount of money flows towards one outcome, the price will shift to reflect that collective view, potentially providing a more accurate assessment of the true probability than traditional odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading occurs.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Toronto vs DC United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the league organizers. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. All trading will cease once the event concludes and the official results are available.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Toronto or DC United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or major team news could also shift the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price.