TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 1:00 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 1:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the “wisdom of the crowd” versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or team biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there's significant public interest in the event. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets or have different margins, leading to variations in the implied probabilities.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, if traders sell contracts, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Toronto FC vs. CF Montréal match, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome – a Toronto FC win, a CF Montréal win, or a draw – actually occurred during the match. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Toronto FC or CF Montréal would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the coaches, could influence traders’ predictions. Major shifts in public opinion, driven by media coverage or social media trends, may also play a role.