TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Torino and Udinese. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Torino and Udinese in their Serie A match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout goals. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion based solely on the final goal count within regular time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees the actual result of the Torino vs Udinese match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the total goals scored in the Torino vs Udinese game.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Torino vs Udinese match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play count towards the resolution of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Torino vs Udinese match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the anticipated scoring rate. Even pre-match team lineup announcements or tactical adjustments revealed by the managers could shift trader sentiment and impact the prices of contracts within this market.