TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two soccer teams in an upcoming professional league match. It focuses on the margin of victory, determining whether one team dominates the other by a specific number of goals. The outcome reflects how decisively a team wins the match.
The event evaluates different margins of victory in a professional Serie A soccer match between Torino and Udinese scheduled for October 12, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Torino wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for Torino. Conversely, if Udinese wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves positively for Udinese. All outcomes are determined exclusively by the regular match duration, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Torino vs Udinese match, as determined by official match statistics. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The precise details of the spread are available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns on Kalshi, could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.