TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Torino versus Udinese Serie A game fixed for October 12, 2026, the event determines if both clubs find the net during the 90 minutes and any stoppage time. The outcome is decided purely by whether each team scores at least one goal in regular play.
If Torino and Udinese both score a goal in the Torino vs Udinese Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, aims to represent the true probability of both teams scoring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market’s price evolves as more information becomes available and traders react to news and analysis. It’s common to see differences emerge as the event approaches, reflecting varying assessments of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Torino vs Udinese match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing belief in the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and it reflects their aggregate expectation of the outcome, independent of external factors or opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both Torino and Udinese score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether both teams scored or not, and contract holders will be paid out accordingly based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Torino or Udinese would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, might cause movement. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team tactics or starting lineups could also cause the price to fluctuate as traders adjust their predictions.