TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Torino and Monza. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Torino vs Monza Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Multiple outcome thresholds are defined—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—all evaluated against the same match result. If the actual goal count exceeds any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of different outcomes. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook's initial assessment. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Torino vs Monza match. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Torino vs Monza match will be the determining factor. Any goals scored during regulation time or any added time will be counted towards the final result. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Torino or Monza would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations for a high-scoring game. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before kickoff could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.