TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Tordesillas and Mirandes in the Copa del Rey, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to bet on whether a specific team will win during regular time or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends entirely on the match's result within the regular timeframe, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Tordesillas and Mirandes, scheduled for October 27, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Tordesillas, a win for Mirandes, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within the allotted regulation time, the corresponding market will resolve positively for that team. Should the game end in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market will resolve positively. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, the market will be settled at a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional bookmakers as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate a wider range of factors and react more quickly to breaking news than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds reflect the collective beliefs of all participants trading in this market, rather than a single entity setting the line.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Tordesillas vs Mirandes match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team declared the winner within regulation time (90 minutes of play, plus any added stoppage time) will determine the winning contract. No extra time or penalty shootouts are considered for this 'Regulation Time Moneyline' market. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Tordesillas or Mirandes would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player suspensions or coaching changes could also shift the odds. Finally, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.