TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Tordesillas and Mirandes in the first round of the Copa del Rey, a prestigious Spanish football tournament. The result determines which team progresses to the next stage of the competition. This match is part of the broader narrative of lower-tier teams attempting to upset higher-ranked opponents in early knockout rounds.
The event comprises two distinct markets resolving based on which team advances from the Tordesillas vs Mirandes tie in the 1st Round of the Copa del Rey. If Tordesillas advances, the first market resolves to Yes; if Mirandes advances, the second market resolves to Yes. Both markets utilize standard sports outcome resolution, where advancement is determined by match results including any applicable extra time or penalty shootouts. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup in secondary rules are purely descriptive and indicate no endorsement or affiliation between FIFA and the event operator. The structure ensures a binary resolution path directly tied to the match's progression outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply different interpretations of the available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders participating in the market, and changes in price signal shifts in market sentiment. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will converge towards a more accurate prediction of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Tordesillas vs Mirandes match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact market sentiment. Additionally, updates on weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect gameplay, could also cause movement. Finally, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information.