TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Toluca vs San Luis: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Toluca vs San Luis?

Volume:
$81,107

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,659
N/A
N/A
$23,138
Settled
No
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,194
N/A
N/A
$9,106
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,816
N/A
N/A
$5,945
Settled
No
kalshi

Toluca wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,733
N/A
N/A
$2,403
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The Toluca versus San Luis match includes markets focusing on the margin of victory for either team. These spreads highlight the potential dominance one side may exert, with different thresholds reflecting varying degrees of winning margin during regulation time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the outcome of the Toluca vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Toluca wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Toluca vs San Luis match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing different outcomes for the spread in this contest. Currently, the total volume traded is $81,107, with $77,300 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely result of the game, and how confidence in those predictions is changing as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Therefore, you may find that the odds here differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Toluca vs San Luis match as determined by official game statistics. The market will then settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing side will not.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Toluca or San Luis would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the probabilities are evolving.