TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Toluca vs San Luis
kalshi

What is the result of Toluca vs San Luis?

Volume:
$2,157,878

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 10:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$427,920
N/A
N/A
$215,772
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$933,801
N/A
N/A
$641,991
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$796,157
N/A
N/A
$513,265
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Toluca will win its Liga MX soccer match against San Luis. Currently, Kalshi gives Toluca a win probability of 88.0%, with a 10.0% probability assigned to a tie. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, as reported by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 17, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Toluca vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Toluca market occurs only if Toluca wins the match in regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for San Luis requires San Luis's victory in regulation. If the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets strictly consider regulation time results and do not account for outcomes determined in extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Toluca vs San Luis match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, currently at $2,157,878. The 24-hour volume is $1,625,974, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are assessing the likely result of the match.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that PredictionHero users have information or insights that aren’t yet reflected in traditional betting markets. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions impacting the Toluca vs San Luis match.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Toluca vs San Luis match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and official match result will determine which outcome, if any, pays out to contract holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Toluca or San Luis would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, unexpected coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or significant shifts in public perception, could also contribute to changes in the market’s assessment of the likely outcome of the Toluca vs San Luis match.