TOTAL VOLUME:

$155.1b

24H VOL:

$337,672,170

24H TRANSACTIONS:

3,002,125,488

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,014,360,784

421,272

Markets across

40,138

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,437

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Toluca vs Monterrey
kalshi

What is the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?

Oct 24, 2026, 8:35 PM EST - Nov 7, 2026, 11:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,361
Volume 24h:
$3,336
260%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,327
168%

Toluca

 - Kalshi

Toluca - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:07h:03m

Toluca wins

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 59¢ buys you 169 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $169 | Net Profit: $69 Multiplier: 1.69x | ROI: 69% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca

Trade
59%
Yes 59¢No 42¢
1¢
N/A
$739
62%
72,106%
$737
4d 7h 3m
Active
kalshi

Monterrey

Trade
22%
1%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
1¢
N/A
$3,284
133%
21,186%
$3,257
4d 7h 3m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
21%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$1,338
612%
N/A
$1,333
4d 7h 3m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Mexico's top-tier league. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include victories for either team or a draw.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Toluca vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Toluca win, Monterrey win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for Toluca, the Toluca market resolves to Yes. Conversely, a Monterrey victory resolves the Monterrey market to Yes. A tied result after regulation time resolves the Tie market to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and do not account for any post-regulation deciding events such as extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Toluca vs Monterrey match tracks the current odds offered by traders, a price history showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $3,245 and total volume for this market is $5,361. This allows participants to understand market sentiment and how it evolves leading up to the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely outcome of this soccer match, and how much activity is occurring.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of opinions represented in the prediction market. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches, but significant differences can sometimes present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Toluca vs Monterrey match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Toluca vs Monterrey match—which team wins or if there is a draw—will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also impact the market. Major upsets in other related matches might also influence trader perceptions and lead to adjustments in the probabilities assigned to different outcomes of the Toluca vs Monterrey match.