TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Toledo vs Sacramento State?

Total volume:
$144,842
Volume 24h:
$68,657
4%
Liquidity:
$92,633
222%
Open interest:
$120,639
93%

Toledo vs. Sacramento State

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 02d:00h:15m

Toledo vs. Sacramento State

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Toledo vs. Sacramento State

Trade
95%
1%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
$22,496
$3,199
483%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
predict

Toledo vs. Sacramento State

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 3h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
94.5%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Toledo

94%
1%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
N/A
$11,101
35%
2,055%
$6,235
1d 3h 15m
Active
polymarket

O/U 35.5

83%
33%
Yes 94¢No 28¢
22¢
$1,090
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
kalshi

Sacramento St.

6%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$130,452
88%
18,172%
$114,405
1d 3h 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

98%
Yes 98¢No 51¢
—
$0
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -8.5

98%
Yes 98¢No 51¢
—
$0
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

98%
1%
Yes 98¢No 51¢
—
$0
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

54%
2%
Yes 54¢No 73¢
—
$20
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

48%
2%
Yes 48¢No 76¢
—
$28
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

48%
4%
Yes 48¢No 76¢
—
$28
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -20.5

48%
1%
Yes 48¢No 76¢
—
$28
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -20.5

64%
14%
Yes 70¢No 42¢
12¢
$1,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

70%
20%
Yes 76¢No 36¢
12¢
$2,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

72%
22%
Yes 79¢No 35¢
14¢
$3,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

76%
26%
Yes 81¢No 30¢
11¢
$3,060
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

78%
29%
Yes 83¢No 28¢
11¢
$1,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

83%
32%
Yes 88¢No 23¢
11¢
$2,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -8.5

84%
15%
Yes 97¢No 29¢
26¢
$1,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

86%
13%
Yes 90¢No 19¢
9¢
$1,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

91%
9%
Yes 95¢No 14¢
9¢
$1,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

90%
41%
Yes 94¢No 14¢
8¢
$1,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

86%
11%
Yes 99¢No 27¢
26¢
$947
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

87%
10%
Yes 99¢No 25¢
24¢
$1,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 15m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 243

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a college football game between Toledo and Sacramento State, scheduled for November 4th. Markets cover the winner of the game, point spreads, over/under totals, and various statistical achievements during the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only resolves on a win by either team, while Polymarket accounts for ties with a 50/50 split.Hero tip: Consider the probability of a tie when trading on Kalshi, as it will not resolve. Polymarket offers a more complete resolution scope.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Toledo or Sacramento State if they win, 50/50 split on a tie. Offers a wide variety of markets including spreads, totals, and team statistics. "If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Toledo or Sacramento State wins. Does not account for ties. "If Sacramento St. wins the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toledo wins the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Sacramento State, scheduled for November 4 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official winner of the Toledo vs Sacramento State college football game scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in determining the outcome under various scheduling contingencies.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Sacramento State, scheduled for November 4 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacramento State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Toledo vs. Sacramento State game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, total volume across these platforms is $144,663, with $65,033 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, while not entirely unified, currently indicates a strong likelihood of a particular outcome. Polymarket currently favors Toledo vs. Sacramento State: 2H Moneyline at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Toledo wins at 94.0%. This allows for a comprehensive view of expectations surrounding the game's result.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The efficiency of this market is driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, refining the price based on new information and analysis.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different participants may interpret available information differently, leading to varying probabilities assigned to each outcome. Additionally, the specific market structures offered on each platform – for example, spread markets versus simple win/loss markets – can influence pricing. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more accurate price discovery. These dynamics create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences across platforms.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Toledo vs. Sacramento State game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the relevant governing body for college football. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved by referencing widely accepted sources of information regarding the game's final score and outcome. Traders should monitor official sources as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions impacting game day could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and news coverage, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other relevant games could indirectly affect perceptions of team strength and impact the market. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding price movements in this market.