TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 31.5 points
- Kalshi
Over 31.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:05h:56m
$
These markets evaluate whether the combined scoring performance in a college football game between Toledo and Sacramento State exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the Toledo vs Sacramento State college football game scheduled for November 4, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 31.5, 34.5, up to 73.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific scoring threshold chosen.
Typically, prediction markets and sportsbook odds reflect similar underlying probabilities, but discrepancies can emerge. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn't present in prediction markets like Kalshi. This can lead to prediction market prices being slightly more efficient indicators of true probabilities. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely followed, serving as a common point of comparison for those new to prediction markets. It’s important to remember that both represent different ways of assessing the same event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total from the Toledo vs Sacramento State game will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' contract wins. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Toledo or Sacramento State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Public perception shifts—driven by expert analysis or media coverage—can also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.