TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Toledo over 23.5 points
- Kalshi
Toledo over 23.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:23h:01m
$
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on different scoring thresholds being met or exceeded.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game scheduled for Nov 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for either team; if the specified team scores over the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific scoring thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Keep in mind that prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of factors than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on their beliefs, leading to a dynamic reflection of collective expectations. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential team totals.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals, as officially recorded by the game’s governing body, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances shortly after the official game statistics are released.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or weather forecasts could all shift expectations about team performance. Significant updates on team practice reports or pre-game analysis from reputable sources could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or key player availability would likely cause noticeable price movements. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' scoring potential is likely to move this market.