TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:06h:15m
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This group resolves to which team wins the college basketball game between the Toledo Rockets and the Michigan State Spartans, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets specify a no-result condition if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified date.
In the upcoming CBB game between Toledo Rockets and Michigan State Spartans, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBB game between Toledo Rockets and Michigan State Spartans, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals with skin in the game, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and may offer different value depending on individual assessment and risk tolerance. The current volume on this market is $659.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the final result of the Toledo Rockets versus Michigan State Spartans college football game. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses to understand how the outcome is being determined. This market’s resolution is independent of any subjective interpretation and relies on objective, publicly available data.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, coaching changes, or significant team performance shifts would likely cause price movement. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game location could also influence predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends on sportsbooks and social media, can also play a role. Finally, any major upsets in other college football games that affect the overall perception of team strength could indirectly move this market. Traders should closely monitor these factors to assess potential shifts in probability.