TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans?

Total volume:
$659
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$610
70%
Open interest:
$659
0%

Michigan St.

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:06h:15m

Michigan St. wins

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% High Projected APY: 1,507% 3 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan St.

Trade
96%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$506
3d 6h 15m
Active
polymarket

Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans

15%
Yes 29¢No 99¢
28¢
$610
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 3h 15m
Active
predict

Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans

N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 3h 15m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
96%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
Avg: 42¢Max: 97¢
kalshi

Toledo

5%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$153
3d 6h 15m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This group resolves to which team wins the college basketball game between the Toledo Rockets and the Michigan State Spartans, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets specify a no-result condition if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic resolves 'Yes' for either team winning, making it a 'game happens' market, while Polymarket and Predict resolve to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Be cautious about Kalshi's 'Yes' resolution for either team. It's effectively a 'game happens' market, while Polymarket and Predict are standard win/loss markets. Consider hedging if you're exposed to both.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team. "If the Toledo Rockets win, the market will resolve to 'Toledo Rockets'. If the Michigan State Spartans win, the market will resolve to 'Michigan State Spartans'."
  • Predict: Resolves to the specific winning team. "If the Toledo Rockets win, the market will resolve to 'Toledo Rockets'. If the Michigan State Spartans win, the market will resolve to 'Michigan State Spartans'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Toledo wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CBB game between Toledo Rockets and Michigan State Spartans, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming CBB game between Toledo Rockets and Michigan State Spartans, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the predictive odds for the college football matchup between Toledo Rockets and Michigan State Spartans. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans is favored, with a combined volume of $659. This aggregation allows users to see a broader market perspective than looking at either Polymarket or Predict in isolation. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of how traders are assessing the probability of different outcomes in this contest, reflecting real-time insights from the prediction market community.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals with skin in the game, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and may offer different value depending on individual assessment and risk tolerance. The current volume on this market is $659.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the final result of the Toledo Rockets versus Michigan State Spartans college football game. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses to understand how the outcome is being determined. This market’s resolution is independent of any subjective interpretation and relies on objective, publicly available data.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, coaching changes, or significant team performance shifts would likely cause price movement. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game location could also influence predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends on sportsbooks and social media, can also play a role. Finally, any major upsets in other college football games that affect the overall perception of team strength could indirectly move this market. Traders should closely monitor these factors to assess potential shifts in probability.