TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Tokyo and Urawa in the Japan J1 League will determine if more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Tokyo vs Urawa Japan J1 League game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each market has a different threshold for the total goals needed to resolve to Yes, ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their liabilities and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Tokyo vs Urawa match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate significantly, offering opportunities for traders to profit from perceived mispricings or to hedge against their own predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Tokyo vs Urawa match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in regulation time, including any added time, will determine the winning contract. No extra time or penalty shootouts are considered for this market. The resolution will be based on official match data released by the governing football authorities, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tokyo or Urawa would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Furthermore, team form leading up to the match, tactical announcements from the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through polls or analyst predictions could all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.