TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tokyo V vs Tokyo
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo V vs Tokyo?

Volume:
$601,260

Tokyo

 - Kalshi

Tokyo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$163,067
N/A
N/A
$85,698
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo V

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$339,047
N/A
N/A
$169,534
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,146
N/A
N/A
$55,454
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Tokyo will win its professional Japan J1 League soccer game against Tokyo V. Currently, Kalshi gives Tokyo a 99.0% probability of winning, with Tokyo V at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the game, according to Kalshi. Keep a close watch on October 17, 2026, as that is the scheduled date for the completion of the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and therefore the resolution date for this market.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Tokyo V vs Tokyo professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, determined after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for Tokyo V, Tokyo, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends level under these conditions. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's procedures. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tokyo volleyball match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, which currently stands at $596,034. The 24-hour volume is $571,687, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting regarding the match's potential results.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a variety of factors, including public perception and their own risk management models. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion among bettors. Comparing the two can reveal insights into where the 'crowd' believes the value lies.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in opinion. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to traders on Kalshi, is Tokyo V wins.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tokyo volleyball match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the official results.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches, or even comments from analysts and commentators, might also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets or surprising performances during the match itself, if they occur before the resolution date, would likely lead to substantial movements in the market as traders react to the unfolding events.