TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Tokyo V and Avispa, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the final count of goals after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Tokyo V versus Avispa professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. The resolution considers only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee; goals scored during extra time, penalty shootouts, or any post-match proceedings are excluded from all calculations. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. If the total goals meet or exceed the threshold specified for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the total is below the threshold, it resolves to 'No.' All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The governing body for the match is the Japan J1 League, though Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team lineups or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, as the market attempts to establish a true probability assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can consistently earn money by correctly anticipating market movements. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the likely total goals scored in the Tokyo vs Avispa match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be determined by the total number of goals scored in the Tokyo vs Avispa match, as officially recorded by the league or governing body. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play will count towards the final result. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tokyo or Avispa would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also move the market. Finally, any significant news related to team morale or internal issues could impact the perceived probability of a certain goal total, leading to adjustments in the market price.