TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event centers on the Tokyo V versus Avispa match in the Japan J1 League, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the match's regular duration. The resolution is based exclusively on goals scored within the 90 minutes and stoppage time, with extra time and penalties not considered.
If Tokyo V and Avispa both score a goal in the Tokyo V vs Avispa Japan J1 League match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a 'Both Teams To Score' outcome is likely, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook odds. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities as the event approaches, especially when substantial volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids (to buy) and asks (to sell), and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Tokyo vs Avispa match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Tokyo and Avispa score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle based on whether 'Yes' (both teams score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score) occurred during the full duration of the game, including any added time.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tokyo or Avispa would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, might also play a role. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators or analysts could influence how traders assess the probability of both teams finding the net.