TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:08 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming J2 League game between Tokushima Vortis and FC Imabari, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tokushima Vortis vs. FC Imabari match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming J2 League game between Tokushima Vortis and FC Imabari, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tokushima Vortis vs. FC Imabari match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If prediction market probabilities significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully incorporated by traditional oddsmakers. It’s also possible that differences arise from varying levels of risk aversion or differing market efficiencies between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each exact score. As more shares are traded for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Tokushima Vortis vs. FC Imabari match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score at the end of regulation time will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for resolution purposes. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift probabilities in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Tokushima Vortis or FC Imabari would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or strategic shifts could also cause the market to react, as traders adjust their expectations based on new information available before Oct 10, 2026.