TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes?

Volume:
$57,154

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 8:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,355
N/A
N/A
$17,506
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,099
N/A
N/A
$16,776
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Orix Buffaloes, scheduled for October 3rd. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a make-up game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure appears to treat either team winning as a 'Yes' outcome, while Polymarket designates a specific team as the resolution.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for a clearer winner-takes-all resolution. Avoid Kalshi due to its ambiguous 'either/or' structure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Golden Eagles or Buffaloes) or 50-50 for tie/cancellation. "If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Orix Buffaloes wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for October 3 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Orix Buffaloes wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert opinion. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for setting odds—such as order book dynamics on Polymarket versus a continuous probability market on Kalshi—can lead to temporary discrepancies. Market sentiment and information flow may also vary between the two platforms, causing differing perceptions of the likelihood of either the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or the Orix Buffaloes winning the championship.