TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$68,732

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

 - Polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 5:52 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
60%
4%
Yes 60¢No 40¢
—
N/A
$29,934
N/A
N/A
$15,327
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
40%
1%
Yes 40¢No 60¢
—
N/A
$14,643
N/A
N/A
$9,262
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a single baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a makeup game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' as either team winning, while Polymarket specifies a resolution based on the specific winning team.Hero tip: Be cautious about interpreting 'Yes' on Kalshi – it doesn't clearly indicate *which* team won. Consider the potential for confusion if the game is close and market sentiment is split.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team (Golden Eagles or Hawks). A tie or cancellation results in a 50-50 split. "If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, lacking specificity. "If Fukuoka Hawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 21 at 12:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbooks due to the incentive structures and information aggregation methods. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, conversely, allow participants to directly express their beliefs, creating a more organic reflection of collective wisdom. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as the market benefits from the diverse knowledge of its participants. However, liquidity and awareness can also play a role, influencing the prices observed here.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, while Kalshi utilizes a different order book structure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in mechanics can lead to price discrepancies, even with similar trading volume. Furthermore, each platform attracts a slightly different user base with varying expertise and information. The volume traded on each platform also impacts price discovery; Polymarket has seen volume of $68,732 while Kalshi has seen $68,732. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the eventual NPB champion.

Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities in this market. Key player injuries or trades for either the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks would undoubtedly impact trading activity. Unexpected performance shifts during the regular season, particularly strong winning or losing streaks, could also drive price changes. Major announcements regarding team strategies or managerial decisions could also influence market sentiment. Any news impacting the perceived strength of either team will likely be reflected in the trading volume and price adjustments within this market.