TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Todiras Ion and Afendi Volodymyr in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 5 at 12:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Todiras Ion' if Todiras Ion wins against Afendi Volodymyr. This market will resolve to 'Afendi Volodymyr' if Afendi Volodymyr wins against Todiras Ion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Todiras Ion and Afendi Volodymyr in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 5 at 12:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Todiras Ion' if Todiras Ion wins against Afendi Volodymyr. This market will resolve to 'Afendi Volodymyr' if Afendi Volodymyr wins against Todiras Ion. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the likelihood of either fighter winning, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This can create discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see convergence, but divergences can present profitable trading opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating increased confidence. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the strength of these beliefs, and the price is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Todiras vs. Afendi match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will then verify this information to determine which outcome – a win for Todiras or a win for Afendi – is the correct one. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess probabilities. Additionally, any updates on the fighters’ physical or mental condition leading up to the match could significantly impact the market. Public analysis and expert opinions could also play a role, influencing how traders perceive the likelihood of each fighter winning the Todiras vs. Afendi match.