TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a specific Mobile Legends: Bang Bang match between TNC Pro Team and ONIC PH, scheduled for October 21, 2026. The result depends on which team secures a victory in the broader MPL Philippines 2026 tournament during that particular match. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with provisions for handling match disruptions such as postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures.
The market resolves based on the result of the Mobile Legends: Bang Bang match between TNC Pro Team and ONIC PH, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026, at 3:00 AM EDT, within the MPL Philippines 2026 tournament. If TNC Pro Team wins the match, the TNC Pro Team market resolves to Yes, and the ONIC PH market resolves to No. Conversely, if ONIC PH wins the match, the ONIC PH market resolves to Yes, and the TNC Pro Team market resolves to No. If the match is postponed and does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, both markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match is cancelled before any play begins, or if either team forfeits prior to the start, both markets also resolve to their fair market prices. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the result will be determined by the official outcome published by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. As a result, you may find that the odds on Kalshi diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, leading to potentially different probabilities assigned to each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the TNC Pro Team vs. ONIC PH match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on these interactions. The closer the match date, the more volatile the price may become as more information is factored in.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the TNC Pro Team vs. ONIC PH match as reported by the tournament organizers. The winning team will be determined by the standard rules of the competition, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either TNC Pro Team or ONIC PH could influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, general sentiment from esports analysts and commentators, as well as any major upsets in other related matches, may impact how traders assess the probabilities. Increased volume leading up to Oct 21, 2026 is also likely to cause price fluctuations.